Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.133177 0.148843 0.166211 0.187003 0.211364 0.239179 0.273596
2024-10-06 0.115391 0.137518 0.164272 0.199489 0.245372 0.304203 0.387170
2024-10-13 0.097539 0.121832 0.153167 0.197569 0.260617 0.349843 0.491442
2024-10-20 0.086305 0.112039 0.147075 0.199973 0.281091 0.406965 0.631340
2024-10-27 0.075737 0.101244 0.137446 0.194916 0.288753 0.446173 0.757377
2024-11-03 0.070638 0.097212 0.136531 0.202250 0.316903 0.526387 0.992911
2024-11-10 0.066112 0.093292 0.135000 0.207989 0.343309 0.611484 1.284638
2024-11-17 0.060633 0.087204 0.129128 0.205175 0.353181 0.666846 1.540326
2024-11-24 0.055470 0.081030 0.122293 0.199421 0.355880 0.707541 1.784585
2024-12-01 0.050055 0.073934 0.113122 0.187979 0.344534 0.712328 1.925725
2024-12-08 0.047113 0.070599 0.109984 0.187415 0.356144 0.777463 2.323892
2024-12-15 0.045270 0.068908 0.109489 0.191859 0.379855 0.883704 2.990644
2024-12-22 0.042272 0.065124 0.105074 0.188212 0.385103 0.944313 3.562053
2024-12-29 0.041068 0.064351 0.106118 0.196217 0.421475 1.120020 5.043882
2025-01-05 0.038514 0.060982 0.101939 0.192310 0.426235 1.195082 6.109159
2025-01-12 0.036814 0.059009 0.100240 0.193696 0.446016 1.337662 8.105489
2025-01-19 0.034564 0.055861 0.095930 0.188436 0.445581 1.402355 9.677454
2025-01-26 0.033738 0.055278 0.096673 0.195251 0.483349 1.657773 14.713242
2025-02-02 0.032824 0.054449 0.096817 0.200636 0.518679 1.936221 22.671636
2025-02-09 0.031268 0.052273 0.093936 0.197910 0.526364 2.081002 29.984028
2025-02-16 0.029602 0.049780 0.090175 0.192403 0.523085 2.164376 37.253851
2025-02-23 0.027613 0.046549 0.084605 0.181476 0.497972 2.101033 39.181679
2025-03-02 0.026599 0.045180 0.082972 0.180935 0.511196 2.296206 56.427598